Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Hailemariam Desalegn: Can the figurehead Prime Minister stop Ethiopia's implosion?


The legitimacy and viability of the minority regime in 
Ethiopia is the staple of conversations amongst Ethiopians and Horn analysts 
these days. The center of the discussions is Hailemariam Desalegn, who is said 
to be Meles Zenawi's handpicked successor. I would venture to say that he is just 
a figurehead. As I have stated in the past the entrenched regime remains in the 
hands of card carrying Tigray Peoples Liberation Front (TPLF) members who are managing 
the government along with their foreign advisors, behind the scenes. For brevity's 
sake, allow me to present these basic facts which prove my assertion that he is 
just a figure head Prime Minister with no real power to speak of. 
Sophia Tesfamariam ,27 November 2012 



The legitimacy and viability of the minority regime in 
Ethiopia is the staple of conversations amongst Ethiopians and Horn analysts 
these days. The center of the discussions is Hailemariam Desalegn, who is said 
to be Meles Zenawi's handpicked successor. I would venture to say that he is just 
a figurehead. As I have stated in the past the entrenched regime remains in the 
hands of card carrying Tigray Peoples Liberation Front (TPLF) members who are managing 
the government along with their foreign advisors, behind the scenes. For brevity's 
sake, allow me to present these basic facts which prove my assertion that he is 
just a figure head Prime Minister with no real power to speak of. 

1. 
Despite the grandiose and bombastic explanations 
about democracy in Ethiopia and the Ethiopian Constitution, it is clear from 
the statement presented by the new Prime Minister that his was an assigned post. 
In his acceptance speech at the EPRDF meeting, he clearly used the Amharic word 
"bememedebe"-which means my assignment as opposed to "bememerete"- which would mean he was elected 

2. 
In his speech he also told the audience that he 
would implement fully the letter and spirit of Meles Zenawi's vision and 
transformative agenda-meaning that he does not have vision or any agenda of his 
own. 

3. 
Shortly after Meles Zenawi died, while Desalegn 
was the Acting Prime Minister, several members of the Tigrayan nationality were 
given promotions in the Ethiopian army-giving 
the TPLF full and effective control of the Ethiopia's Armed Forces. Desalegn 
was powerless to prevent them from doing so. 

4. 
Fasil Nahom, who served as Meles Zenawi's 
adviser has also remained as Desalegn's adviser. It should be recalled that Nahom 
was a card carrying member of Menghistu Hailemariam's Communist party for 14 
years. 

5. 
Tseghai Berhe, former President of Tigray, is now 
Desalegn's Security Advisor. 

6. 
Arkebe Oqbay, another card carrying member of 
the TPLF is serving as his Information Advisor. 

7. 
Military and Security and Economic Institutions 
in Ethiopia, as well as key diplomatic posts are also controlled by the TPLF. 

  

a. 
Getachew Assefa-Chief of Security 

b. 
Samora Younis-Chief of Staff and de-facto 
Defense Minister 

c. 
Abay Tsehaye-Another card carrying member of the 
TPLF, head of Sugar Sector and 10 other factories in Ethiopia 

d. 
Seyoum Mesfin-CEO of all Chinese funded billion 
dollar projects in Ethiopia. Also moonlights as Ethiopia's Ambassador to China 

In a 28 April 2008 American Embassy cable entitled "Revolutionary 
Democracy", Sebhat Nega explains why the TPLF must have total and complete 
control of Ethiopia and all its institutions. Let us take a look at what each of them told 
the Americans about Ethiopia: 

-Sabhat described 
"Ethiopia as a "pre-capitalist society" with virtually no middle class 
and only a minimal working class. It is incumbent on the TPLF to exhibit the 
leadership required to transform Ethiopia into a capitalist society. The 
limited middle class fuels competition within the economy which "can 
undermine political stability," Sabhat explained. But, the real 
"enemies" of the state are the "rent collectors." 
Therefore, "the revolutionary nationalist elite intellectuals" in the 
TPLF have the burden of creating an environment among the peasantry to foster 
the emergence of a "liberal bourgeoisie" and its affiliated political 
parties ("after a few elections") which will achieve Ethiopia's development 
objectives and thereby eliminate the need for the TPLF/EPRDF's role altogether. 
"Without this strategy," Sabhat concluded "Ethiopia will 
disintegrate"" 

That is the fear mongering and lies that TPLF has used to 
justify its repressive hold on the suffering Ethiopian people. It doesn't help 
when their new Prime Minister shares such contempt. Here is what the cable says 
about him: 

"Hailemariam 
Desalegn, chairman of the Southern Ethiopia People's Democratic Movement 
(SEPDM), has argued to Post that due to poor education and illiteracy the 
Ethiopian public is too underdeveloped to make a well reasoned, informed 
decision, and so Revolutionary Democracy is the political bridge by which the 
"enlightened leaders" can lead the people to democracy" 

Hailemariam Desalegn is said to be 'educated', 'humble' and 'soft-spoken'-nice 
qualities to have- Unfortunately he is encircled by TPLF cadres who monitor and 
control his every move. As a leader of a country in turmoil, and 
completely out of his control, what chance does he have to hold Ethiopia 
together? None that a figurehead can". 

May God give him strength to do right by Ethiopia and her 
long suffering people! 

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